Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $14.9K·Volume $10·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,996
72h +$5,996
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 16:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$14.9K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,996, +$5,996 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $37 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $799 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,206 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,206 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |