Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $15.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,812
72h +$7,812
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 16:58Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$15.5K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,812, +$7,812 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $89 |
| 2h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $128 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $93 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,047 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,047 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $19 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $32 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $134 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $134 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 23¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $12 |