Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $21.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$17.5K
72h +$17.5K
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 16:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$21.6K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$17.5K, +$17.5K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $58 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $116 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $108 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,475 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,475 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $205 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 3h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 3h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 3h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $232 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $60 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,475 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $18 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $138 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $285 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $285 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $118 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $95 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 3h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $28 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $28 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $15 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $15 |