Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:00Smart money exiting · $636 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,704
72h +$1,704
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 15:00Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.9K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Down" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,704, +$1,704 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $78 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $621 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $621 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $379 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $777 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $95 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $271 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $121 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $121 |
| 2h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $21 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |