Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $20.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.2pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,424
72h +$7,424
Smart money entered95¢100¢at 15:00Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$20.0K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,424, +$7,424 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $141 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $141 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $383 |
| 2h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $383 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,239 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,239 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $651 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $104 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $32 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 93¢ | $93 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 92¢ | $20 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 93¢ | $93 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 92¢ | $75 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 92¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 87¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $2 |