Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $15.5K·Volume $10·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
11
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$33.3K
72h +$33.3K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 15:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$15.5K
Explanation
11 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$33.3K, +$33.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,004 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $8,999 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,004 |
| 3h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7,000 |
| 3h ago | 0x1875…a782Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,189 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $9,995 |
| 3h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 3h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $141 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 3h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 3h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 3h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $71 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $135 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $13 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $13 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $135 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 86¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $21 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $9 |