Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $19.4K·Volume $10·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,941
72h +$7,941
Smart money entered93¢100¢at 15:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$19.4K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,941, +$7,941 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $131 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $131 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $86 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $34 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $175 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $131 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $86 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $131 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $44 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $87 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $175 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $115 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,371 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,371 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $89 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $119 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $119 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $39 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $114 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 92¢ | $92 |