Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $4,944·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,417
72h +$6,417
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 04:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$4,944
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,417, +$6,417 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $126 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $33 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $65 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $677 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $831 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 3h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,451 |
| 3h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 3h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 74¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $12 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $19 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $83 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $63 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 88¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 74¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $17 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 19¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $2 |