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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:09computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,109
72h +$4,109
Smart money entered95¢0.0¢at 05:09Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,109, +$4,109 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:09
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$8
4h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown3.0¢$21
4h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown3.0¢$21
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
4h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$99
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$30
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$475
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$99
4h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$158
4h ago0x00b1…62beMidSellUp99¢$158
4h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$142
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$83
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$99
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$475
4h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$294
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$51
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$2,146
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$1
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$1
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$0
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$2
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$79
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$13
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$10
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
4h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$0
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$0
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$0
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
4h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp95¢$14
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$97
4h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown18¢$7
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$30
4h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown42¢$11
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp59¢$30
4h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown42¢$11
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp51¢$3
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp51¢$3
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp66¢$2
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp67¢$4
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp67¢$12
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp66¢$3
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp66¢$6
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp66¢$14
4h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown34¢$34
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp66¢$26