Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,756
72h +$8,756
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,756, +$8,756 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Sell | Down | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $513 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $886 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,005 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $377 |
| 4h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,005 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $345 |
| 4h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $377 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $15 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $15 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $177 |
| 4h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $200 |
| 4h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $171 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $423 |
| 4h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 4h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $107 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 4h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 4h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $47 |
| 4h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 4h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 4h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 4h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $28 |