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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:11computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$9,063
72h +$9,063
Smart money entered100¢0.0¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$9,063, +$9,063 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$925
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$999
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$40
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$0
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1,039
4h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1,039
4h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$1,998
4h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$1,998
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp100¢$100
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$125
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp100¢$100
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$75
4h ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
4h ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$11
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$73
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$11
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$73
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$14
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$14
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
4h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$99
4h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp78¢$8
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp78¢$8
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp67¢$3
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp67¢$3
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp68¢$7
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp68¢$7
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$4
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$1
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp63¢$6
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp65¢$3
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$2
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$3
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$3
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$0
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown34¢$1
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyUp63¢$6
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp65¢$3
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp63¢$3
4h agoviniangussoTopBuyUp63¢$3
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown36¢$4
4h agoOhioAIMidBuyDown36¢$4
4h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown35¢$2