TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:10computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
56%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,397
72h +$3,397
Smart money entered79¢0.0¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,397, +$3,397 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$1
5h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$4
5h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$3
5h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$9
5h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$6
5h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$1
5h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$38
5h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$495
5h ago0x9587…c10aTopBuyDown99¢$91
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.0¢$7
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$99
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$99
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.0¢$7
5h ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$158
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$4
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$31
5h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$222
5h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown99¢$94
5h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown99¢$3
5h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown99¢$1
5h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown99¢$1
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp12¢$5
5h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp12¢$5
5h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown88¢$7
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp12¢$5
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp19¢$8
5h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown89¢$89
5h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown89¢$89
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp19¢$8
5h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp12¢$3
5h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp15¢$6
5h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown91¢$91
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp11¢$3
5h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp10¢$4
5h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown91¢$91
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp11¢$3
5h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$52
5h agoviniangussoTopBuyDown49¢$2
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp43¢$2
5h agoviniangussoTopBuyDown49¢$2
5h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp38¢$16
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp39¢$6
5h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp68¢$1
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp71¢$14
5h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown34¢$5
5h agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown34¢$10
5h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp51¢$13
5h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown41¢$16
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp71¢$18
5h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown27¢$7