Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
51%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$694
72h +$694
Smart money entered95¢0.0¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$694, +$694 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $69 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $50 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 11¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 11¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $21 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $20 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 76¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 74¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 74¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 70¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 70¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 68¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 68¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $17 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $6 |
| 5h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 64¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 64¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $25 |
| 5h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $25 |