Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
56%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,998
72h +$3,998
Smart money entered98¢0.0¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,998, +$3,998 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $863 |
| 5h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $246 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $109 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $21 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 5h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $109 |
| 5h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 5h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $8 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 73¢ | $15 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $13 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $15 |
| 5h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 60¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $31 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $11 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 63¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 62¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 62¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $14 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 64¢ | $10 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 70¢ | $9 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $16 |
| 5h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 37¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $5 |
| 5h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $3 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $16 |
| 5h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $7 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $16 |