Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,863
72h +$2,863
Smart money entered98¢0.0¢at 05:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,863, +$2,863 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $11 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $50 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $662 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $227 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $45 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $30 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $70 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $554 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $200 |
| 14h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $764 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $563 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $121 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $14 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $54 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $43 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 14h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $4 |
| 14h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 20¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $6 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $4 |
| 14h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $14 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $1 |