Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,010
72h +$5,010
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,010, +$5,010 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $637 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $56 |
| 14h ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,822 |
| 14h ago | 0x9566…6f25Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,822 |
| 14h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $63 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 14h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $63 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $24 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $95 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $95 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $24 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $95 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $95 |
| 14h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $4 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $40 |
| 14h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $12 |
| 14h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $9 |
| 14h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $9 |
| 14h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $12 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $40 |
| 15h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $40 |
| 15h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $50 |
| 15h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $50 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $1 |