Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
51%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$71 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$418
72h +$418
Smart money entered16¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $71 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 16¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $71 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$418, +$418 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $13 |
| 14h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $12 |
| 14h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $306 |
| 14h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $41 |
| 14h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 14h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $249 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $238 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $100 |
| 14h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $6 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 14h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $50 |