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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
51%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$71 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$418
72h +$418
Smart money entered16¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy14h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $71 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 16¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $71 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$418, +$418 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
14h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$13
14h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$12
14h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$306
14h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$41
14h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$9
14h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$11
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$249
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$238
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$99
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$1
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$1
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$3
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$100
14h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$2
14h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$99
14h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp99¢$99
14h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$3
14h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$1
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$6
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown2.0¢$1
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$1
14h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$97
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$1
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$3
14h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$97
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$3
14h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp97¢$97
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$2
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$3
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown3.0¢$0
14h ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp94¢$50