Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
52%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$25 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,125
Smart money entered42¢0.0¢at 07:57Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $25 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 42¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $25 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,125 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $475 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $86 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $86 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 11¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 87¢ | $87 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | G-Penis-MonsterMid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 15¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 11¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 28¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 28¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $17 |