Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,907
72h +$8,907
Smart money entered98¢0.0¢at 05:12Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,907, +$8,907 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $209 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $699 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $699 |
| 15h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $990 |
| 15h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,978 |
| 15h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 15h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,465 |
| 15h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 15h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $132 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $187 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $138 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 15h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $78 |
| 15h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $43 |
| 15h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $54 |
| 15h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $94 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 89¢ | $31 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $13 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 43¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 55¢ | $50 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $25 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $3 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $3 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 32¢ | $3 |
| 15h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $10 |
| 15h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $9 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $20 |
| 15h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $8 |
| 15h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 45¢ | $5 |