Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
72%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$628
72h +$628
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 05:10Edge leftnoneLast smart buy17h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$628, +$628 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $79 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 17h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $158 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $30 |
| 17h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $66 |
| 17h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $119 |
| 17h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Up | 19¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Sell | Up | 19¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $6 |
| 17h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $3 |
| 17h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 23¢ | $24 |
| 17h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $33 |
| 17h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $55 |
| 17h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $8 |
| 17h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $98 |
| 17h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $39 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $3 |
| 17h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $98 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $8 |
| 17h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $16 |
| 17h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $4 |