Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,546
72h +$7,546
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 04:30Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,546, +$7,546 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $552 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $139 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $84 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $101 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $166 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $136 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 16h ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 16h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 16h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $87 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,384 |
| 16h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,384 |
| 16h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 16h ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $24 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $24 |
| 16h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $50 |
| 16h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $50 |
| 16h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $57 |
| 16h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $11 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 79¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 83¢ | $57 |
| 16h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $13 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $24 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 68¢ | $18 |
| 16h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $4 |
| 16h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $4 |
| 16h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $6 |