Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$15.4K
72h +$15.4K
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 04:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$15.4K, +$15.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $500 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,795 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $990 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5,174 |
| 16h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,199 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $15 |
| 16h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $15 |
| 16h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 16h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $8 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,616 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $4 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 4.5¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $693 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 4.5¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $102 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $507 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $990 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $139 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |