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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:27computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$15.4K
72h +$15.4K
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 04:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$15.4K, +$15.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
16h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$500
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2,795
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$990
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5,174
16h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$1,199
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$20
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$15
16h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$15
16h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
16h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$96
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$8
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1,616
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$4
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp4.5¢$6
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$693
16h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown99¢$99
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$2
16h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$2
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$1
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp4.5¢$6
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$102
16h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp5.0¢$0
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$507
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$990
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$139
16h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99