Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,256
72h +$6,256
Smart money entered98¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,256, +$6,256 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 16h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $699 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $102 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $41 |
| 16h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 16h ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $110 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 16h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $471 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $19 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $8 |
| 16h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $1 |
| 16h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $0 |
| 16h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $4 |