Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.7K·Volume $4·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,600
72h +$5,600
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 10:50(48% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 48% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,600, +$5,600 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:50
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $211 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $211 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $58 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $58 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $139 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $139 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $51 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $51 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $50 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |