Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$873
72h +$873
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 10:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$873, +$873 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $452 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMid | Sell | Up | 4.0¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 93¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 91¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 90¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 90¢ | $3 |