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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $15.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 10:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$383 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,944
72h +$7,944
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 10:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$15.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $383 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,944, +$7,944 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 10:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x4c09…c918MidBuyDown100¢$4,995
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$6
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$6
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$10
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$10
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$100
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$100
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$13
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$13
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$16
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$16
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$139
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$990
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$198
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$139
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$990
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$198
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$13
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$11
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$198
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$47
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$13
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$11
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$198
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$47
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$5
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$25
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$314
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$0
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$5
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$0
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$5
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$25
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2
1h agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$25
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyUp4.0¢$1
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyUp4.0¢$1
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$97
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$5
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24