Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.2K·Volume $396·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,811
72h +$7,811
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 10:51Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.2K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,811, +$7,811 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $850 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $297 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $50 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $60 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $60 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $208 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $208 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,673 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,673 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $26 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $5 |