Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 08:52Smart money exiting · $509 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,363
72h +$1,363
Smart money entered83¢99¢at 08:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.0K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "Up" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,363, +$1,363 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $113 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $91 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $38 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $49 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $94 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $32 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 19¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 15¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 23¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 24¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 28¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 28¢ | $1 |