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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $17.1K·Volume $10·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 08:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,820
72h +$1,820
Smart money entered95¢99¢at 08:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,820, +$1,820 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 08:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$4
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$10
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$2
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$302
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$396
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$60
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$99
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$18
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$11
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$32
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$9
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$5
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$15
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$24
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$17
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$34
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$5
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$1
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$5
1h agoTHG.MidBuyUp99¢$506
1h agososwald1MidSellUp93¢$5
1h agososwald1MidSellUp88¢$0
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellDown15¢$4
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellDown17¢$0
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellDown17¢$1
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellDown17¢$5
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellUp86¢$70
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellUp86¢$1
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellDown24¢$10
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyDown20¢$6
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyDown23¢$9
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyDown20¢$0
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyDown20¢$6
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyDown23¢$9
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown16¢$2
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown15¢$2
1h ago0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMidSellDown14¢$0
1h ago0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMidSellDown14¢$1
1h ago0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMidSellDown14¢$2
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown16¢$2
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown15¢$2
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown14¢$1
1h ago0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMidSellDown14¢$14
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown14¢$1
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown18¢$2
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown18¢$2
1h ago0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMidSellUp83¢$3