Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $12·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 08:52Smart money exiting · $928 sold 24hcomputed 2h agoSmart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$132 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$583
72h -$583
Smart money entered94¢100¢at 08:52Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $132 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Up" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $132 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$583, -$583 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $91 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $34 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $279 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $34 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $34 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Down | 6.7¢ | $20 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 88¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 89¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 85¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 85¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 85¢ | $20 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 85¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 85¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 85¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 86¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 86¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 87¢ | $4 |