Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $10·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,247
72h +$7,247
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 08:52Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,247, +$7,247 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $252 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $910 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $72 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $138 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $250 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,121 |
| 2h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,121 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 11¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMid | Sell | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $26 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $20 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $4 |