Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.5K·Volume $30·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,513
72h +$3,513
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 08:52Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,513, +$3,513 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $343 |
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $852 |
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $300 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | 0x484e5213d4b75147fd92a0df0e8c7bbcc2ce8e9cMid | Sell | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,139 |
| 3h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $214 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $130 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $34 |
| 3h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 3h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $94 |
| 3h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $23 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 97¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $34 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $0 |