Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $16.0K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,661
72h +$7,661
Smart money entered96¢99¢at 06:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$16.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,661, +$7,661 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,263 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3,263 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $95 |
| 1h ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $95 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $34 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $34 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 11¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 11¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $23 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $23 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $21 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $21 |
| 1h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 71¢ | $39 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 70¢ | $45 |
| 1h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 27¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Down | 35¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Down | 36¢ | $9 |