Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.4K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:54Smart money exiting · $170 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$131
72h +$131
Smart money entered89¢100¢at 06:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "Down" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$131, +$131 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $45 |
| 1h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $34 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 97¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 5.6¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | soswald1Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 94¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 95¢ | $19 |
| 1h ago | 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $34 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 1h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $39 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.8¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.8¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $100 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |