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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $17.4K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:54Smart money exiting · $170 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$131
72h +$131
Smart money entered89¢100¢at 06:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "Down" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$131, +$131 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:54
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$45
1h ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyDown100¢$7
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown99¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown98¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown98¢$34
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyUp3.0¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown97¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown97¢$3
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown97¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown97¢$2
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown95¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown96¢$5
1h agososwald1MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyUp6.0¢$2
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown96¢$5
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyUp5.6¢$24
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown94¢$5
1h agososwald1MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
1h agososwald1MidBuyUp4.0¢$0
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$25
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown94¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown95¢$14
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown95¢$5
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp6.0¢$7
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown95¢$5
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown95¢$19
1h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyUp5.0¢$1
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$96
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyUp7.0¢$3
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown99¢$4
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown99¢$6
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$34
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown99¢$29
1h agoG-Penis-MonsterTopBuyUp7.0¢$3
1h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$39
1h ago0x29ef…1570MidSellUp6.0¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown99¢$1
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown98¢$10
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown98¢$25
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown98¢$0
1h agomachine-earningMidSellDown98¢$5
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.8¢$13
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.8¢$13
1h agoohioismTopBuyUp1.0¢$1
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$6
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$12
1h agoohioismTopBuyUp1.0¢$1
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$100
1h ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$10
1h agoPBot-5MidBuyUp1.0¢$1