Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $18.1K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:54Smart money exiting · $1,267 sold 24hcomputed 2h agoSmart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$850 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$500
72h -$500
Smart money entered90¢100¢at 06:54Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$18.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $850 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Up" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $850 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$500, -$500 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $101 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $158 |
| 2h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | G-Penis-MonsterTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 94¢ | $33 |
| 2h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 92¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Up | 91¢ | $5 |