Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$8,880
72h +$8,880
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 06:06Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$8,880, +$8,880 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $53 |
| 1h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $53 |
| 1h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $90 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $147 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $147 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $27 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $27 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 1h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $18 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $50 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $184 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $50 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $184 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $64 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $425 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |