Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.8K·Volume $14·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,587
72h +$6,587
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 06:06Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12.8K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,587, +$6,587 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $178 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $325 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $178 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $326 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $460 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $460 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,248 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $41 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $65 |
| 2h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $43 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | machine-earningMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |