Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.5K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:06Smart money exiting · $335 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,126
72h +$1,126
Smart money entered82¢100¢at 06:06(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.5K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "Down" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,126, +$1,126 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $8 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 3h ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $90 |
| 3h ago | 0x28b9…531fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 3h ago | 0x28b9…531fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 3h ago | 0x28b9…531fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 3h ago | 0x28b9…531fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | PBot-5Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $3 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 81¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | soswald1Mid | Sell | Down | 81¢ | $1 |