Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.0K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,296
72h +$2,296
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 02:57Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,296, +$2,296 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $158 |
| 1h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | 0x3884…416dMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,329 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $48 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $60 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | 0xeba7…2d1fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x28b9…531fMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x29ef…1570Mid | Sell | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $114 |
| 1h ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 98¢ | $114 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | pspspsps5Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |