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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:27computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
66%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$2,000 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$3,077
Smart money entered86¢0.0¢at 04:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $2,000 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $2,000 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$3,077 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellUp99¢$110
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellUp99¢$110
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$78
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$30
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$1
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$6
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$78
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$1
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$6
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$43
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$10
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$43
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp92¢$32
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp92¢$16
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyUp99¢$1,484
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$49
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$39
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp92¢$32
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp92¢$16
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyUp99¢$1,482
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$39
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$49
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp94¢$94
1d agoviniangussoTopBuyUp88¢$4
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$66
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$7
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$15
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$44
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp94¢$94
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp87¢$4
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown14¢$4
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp87¢$48
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$44
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$7
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$66
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp94¢$94
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp88¢$15
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$1
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$2
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$5
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$3
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$1
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$3
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$2
1d agoviniangussoTopBuyDown14¢$1
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp86¢$130
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown17¢$5