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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:27computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
55%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,383
Smart money entered98¢0.0¢at 04:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,383 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$8
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$16
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$114
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$14
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$561
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$15
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$24
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyDown99¢$227
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$160
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyDown99¢$227
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyDown99¢$1,258
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyDown99¢$1,258
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp3.0¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp4.1¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp7.0¢$6
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp4.1¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp7.0¢$1
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$28
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$28
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$31
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$38
1d ago0x5b91…ef70MidBuyDown98¢$132
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$31
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$38
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$0
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$0
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$14
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$33
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$24
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$14
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown96¢$33
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown98¢$98
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown98¢$5
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$7
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$1
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp3.0¢$0