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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $11.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,990
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$11.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,990 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$6
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$999
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$42
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$22
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$25
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$14
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$151
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$78
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$28
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$78
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$282
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$65
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$1
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$5
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellUp100¢$100
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyUp100¢$247
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$50
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$50
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$247
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$50
1d ago0xb6c3…4a42MidBuyUp100¢$247
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$50
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$247
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$50
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$50
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$20
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidSellUp100¢$20
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$693
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$693
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$159
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp99¢$99
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown12¢$5
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown11¢$4
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown11¢$1
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp87¢$5
1d agoizzyaussieMidBuyUp87¢$5
1d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp87¢$50
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown9.0¢$1
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown7.0¢$0
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown5.0¢$2
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown4.0¢$1
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$58
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp98¢$0