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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
58%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,757
Smart money entered97¢0.0¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,757 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0xac05…e6c8MidSellUp100¢$196
1d ago0xac05…e6c8MidSellUp100¢$196
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$1
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$106
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$106
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$2
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$2
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$5
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellUp99¢$109
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidSellUp99¢$109
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.7¢$13
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.7¢$12
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp99¢$693
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$158
1d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp98¢$1,001
1d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp98¢$1,000
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
1d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp96¢$1,003
1d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp96¢$1,000
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp79¢$39
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown21¢$1
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown21¢$1
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown19¢$2
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyUp79¢$39
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown39¢$4
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown39¢$4
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp70¢$10
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp70¢$10
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown33¢$4
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown33¢$33
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown33¢$11
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp64¢$10
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp64¢$10
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp62¢$7
1d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown33¢$1
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$3
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown33¢$3
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp67¢$4
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp58¢$7
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp58¢$7
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp55¢$6
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp55¢$6
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp54¢$6