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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,744
Smart money entered88¢0.0¢at 05:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,744 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$3
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$86
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$1
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$1
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$13
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$6
2d ago0x7cb2…e655MidBuyUp100¢$148
2d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp98¢$5
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp98¢$98
2d agoasabovesobelow2TopBuyDown7.0¢$10
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
2d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$96
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown9.0¢$0
2d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp85¢$1,010
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown19¢$4
2d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp85¢$1,000
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp86¢$17
2d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp89¢$1,000
2d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp90¢$1,007
2d ago0xbdb4…5decMidBuyUp90¢$1,000
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown13¢$1
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown13¢$0
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp86¢$6
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown15¢$3
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp73¢$1
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp73¢$9
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown30¢$3
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp74¢$5
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp74¢$4
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown20¢$2
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp74¢$1
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp76¢$4
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp76¢$2
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp76¢$7
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp76¢$2
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown23¢$7
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown45¢$0
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp57¢$6
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp58¢$5
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown48¢$14
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown54¢$0
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp46¢$14
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp47¢$2
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown60¢$12
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown55¢$3
2d agoporkypie12MidSellDown64¢$6
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp34¢$7
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp39¢$7
2d agoporkypie12MidSellUp39¢$1