Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
78%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$2,000 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,310
Smart money entered82¢0.0¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Up", with $2,000 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $2,000 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,310 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $126 |
| 1d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $126 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $610 |
| 1d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $610 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $83 |
| 1d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $83 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 93¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 82¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $33 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $22 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 17¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $0 |