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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:30computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,533
Smart money entered99¢0.0¢at 04:30Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,533 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$108
1d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyDown99¢$108
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$390
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$390
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$303
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$303
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3,465
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3,465
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown98¢$2
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown98¢$3
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp29¢$0
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp31¢$3
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp31¢$3
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp30¢$2
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp30¢$2
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp30¢$2
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp28¢$0
1d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp13¢$5
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp18¢$10
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp18¢$10
1d ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp18¢$10
1d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp36¢$52
1d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp49¢$20
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown50¢$6
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown50¢$6
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown50¢$5
1d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown50¢$5
1d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown50¢$8
1d ago0xac05…e6c8MidBuyUp51¢$100