Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.2K·Volume $102·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$415 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,441
72h +$3,441
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 13:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$17.2K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $415 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,441, +$3,441 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,005 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,005 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $76 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $76 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $7 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 71¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 65¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $2 |