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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $7,709·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:28computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$6,764
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:28Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$7,709
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$6,764 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$28
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$5
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$3
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$10
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$33
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$58
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$119
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$999
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$15
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$320
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
1d ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$24
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown100¢$100
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$151
1d ago0x485d…1fe5MidSellDown100¢$48
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp2.9¢$0
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp2.9¢$1
1d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp2.9¢$2
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$68
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$68
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$1,504
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$183
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$188
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$6
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$675
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyUp1.0¢$7
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$14
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$183
1d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown99¢$12
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$99
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$148
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$188
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$82
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$148
1d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$188
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$82
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$99
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$2
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$23
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$2
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$23
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$215
1d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown99¢$215