Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $17.8K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,944
72h +$1,944
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 13:04(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$17.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,944, +$1,944 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:04
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $989 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $989 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Down | 60¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Down | 60¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 81¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 22¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $46 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $46 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 54¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $31 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $3 |