Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $18.5K·Volume $4·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,422
72h +$2,422
Smart money entered90¢100¢at 13:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$18.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,422, +$2,422 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $990 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 31¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $18 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $18 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $75 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $75 |